This is a depressing speech from EU Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde citing recessionary vibes in Europe, prolonged inflation, and slowing demand (both European demand and international demand for European products).
Personally, I assumed Christine Lagarde was going to give a hawkish pause but the Central Bank increased the interest to 25 BPS (0.25%). Her perspective aligns with the fears of European governments that inflation is going to remain high. The ECB refinancing rate is at 4.5% and the marginal lending rate now is 4.75%. Rates were only higher in Europe in 2008 and 2001.
Clearly, there’s a lot of pessimism and fear in Frankfurt and Brussels right now which is spreading to national governments. Rates are relatively very high for today’s economic conditions.
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