If Hamas’ leader in Gaza, Yahwa Al-Sinwar is still alive (reports claim that he has pneumonia), it’s highly unlikely that he will be making his last stand in Rafah. Hamas has a very extensive network of smuggling tunnels in Rafah that are controlled by Sinwar’s relatives and most trusted henchmen. Top Hamas leaders who were previously in Lebanon and Qatar are now in Nigeria.
Hamas still holds up to 100 Israeli hostages who, at this stage, are only being held hostage to ensure the survival of top Hamas leaders and Sinwar himself. On the other hand, the IDF has holed up Gazans in Rafah and has caused a humanitarian catastrophe which may very well be another act in the IDF’s list of crimes against humanity committed during this war.
The IDF has no whereabouts of Sinwar and the remaining hostages. The attack on Rafah is being promoted by the IDF as a means to pressure Hamas to release the hostages, more than an actual operation where the IDF is looking for the hostages.
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